D could catch this wave: web assembly

Kagamin via Digitalmars-d digitalmars-d at puremagic.com
Sun Jun 21 03:13:20 PDT 2015


On Saturday, 20 June 2015 at 19:00:08 UTC, Joakim wrote:
> Pretty soon it won't. :) There are an estimated 2.5 billion 
> smartphone users:
>
> http://www.asymco.com/2014/04/07/postmodern-computing/
>
> The highest estimates of desktop and laptop users I've seen 
> don't crack 2 billion.  That means desktops are already a 
> minority platform.

Do you think it's wise to ignore 2 billion users? The size of the 
mobile market doesn't mean you can target it entirely. The 
article suggests currently we have era of services and services 
are clustered by culture, which means you can't target users 
outside of your cultural cluster, while desktop applications 
usually target entire desktop market without exceptions.

> All the major mobile vendors are working on multi-window 
> implementations which will soon allow you to plug your mobile 
> device into a dock that connects to a monitor/keyboard/trackpad 
> on your desk and run your mobile apps in a similar way to the 
> desktop: Apple's just-announced multi-window feature to go 
> along with their coming iPad Pro, Google's in-development 
> multi-window implementation that has been found in the Android 
> M build, and Microsoft's recently announced Continuum for 
> mobile devices, that lets you plug your Windows Phone into a 
> monitor and use Office with a desktop UI.

Are you going to support windows phone?

> What this means is that people will soon be using their mobile 
> devices for almost everything and desktop computers are 
> effectively dead. :) Now, workstations were killed off by PCs 
> and they still sell a couple million worldwide.  Similarly, 
> there will always be a niche for PCs and mainframes.  It's just 
> a small niche.

It will be desktop for all practical purposes, just more 
constrained in resources. Mobile platform will embrace two 
unrelated ecosystems, and you will still have to choose which 
ecosystem you target, and since desktop is a minority, why you 
would care about mobile desktop? It will be minority for all the 
same reasons that make desktop minority.


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